The baseball season is a grind. It’s every single day. We will approach DFS the same way and be winners at the end of the season even if we have our hot streaks and slumps. Every day there are safe bets that flop and values that hit big, but we need to stick with our strategy in evaluating and playing. Let’s take a look at what we have today.
Our “Into the 80s” series rolls on. The fourth team to join the 80-win-club is the Atlanta Braves. When Bryce Harper signed with the Phillies, most of the national media picked Philly to win the NL East. What the media didn’t say is that the Braves won the NL East last season. Harper may have made you forget about Ronald Acuña, Jr. and his team. At 80-53, they are behind the Dodgers, Astros, and the Yankees, but are still a force to be reckoned with. Continue reading →
Max Fried started the year off hot with a 2.43 ERA in May. He has since cooled off putting up an ERA of 4.11 in May and 5.68 ERA in June. I wouldn’t shy away from him though; in fact, I would be buying anywhere I can. Continue reading →
These are some of the biggest starting pitcher ERA differentials from the first month of baseball compared to the second month. I love looking at these things for two reasons. First is how amazing it is that underlying metrics really can work/predict how a pitcher’s performance will be in the future. Second is to realize you should never react harshly when baseball season starts. Just because a pitcher starts the year off poorly like Noah Syndergaard doesn’t mean you should be trading him right away. I am going to discuss each pitcher below to help determine if their ERA increase or decrease seems justified going forward. Continue reading →