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NFL

Divisional Round NFL Picks: Spreads, Props and More

Mike Fanelli | January 10th, 2020

Wild Card weekend was full of great games, all of which ended as a one-possession game. Three of the four wild card teams won, upsetting some potential Superbowl favorites in the New Orleans Saints and New England Patriots. For those of you who lost money on Saints or Patriots futures bets, this weekend is a great opportunity to make it back.

To recap last week, Mike went 1-2-1 ATS but 2-1 on his favorite bets as Josh Allen was on the receiving end of a passing touchdown by John Brown to score the first points of the game for the Bills. Meanwhile, Gio also went 1-2-1 ATS but was 0-3 on his favorite bets as A.J. Brown and the Titans’ passing attack was shut down as Brown caught his only target for just four yards. In total, Mike went 3-3-1 (50% hit rate) while Gio went 1-5-1 (21.4% hit rate) on their seven bets from last week.

Unfortunately, Gio is out this week so to make up for it Mike will also give his take on the over/under for each game this weekend. Remember, Mike is not a professional better nor knows everything there is to sports betting, but it’s always fun to have some money on the line when watching the games so let’s see how he does this week.

Please bet responsibly and do not bet your mortgage or 401K on any of our suggestions. All bets are from DraftKings Sportsbook.

Spread

Game

Over/Under

Vikings +7

Vikings +7 at 49ers

Over 44

Titans +9.5

Titans +9.5 at Ravens

Over 47

Texans +9.5

Texans +9.5 at Chiefs

Over 51

Seahawks +4

Seahawks +4 at Packers

Under 47.5

Favorite Spread Bet

Titans +2.5 at Ravens in the first quarter (+112)

The Titans are coming off an emotional road win over the Patriots and have been in playoff mode for roughly the last four weeks. Meanwhile, the Ravens locked up the top seed in the AFC in week 16 and at kickoff, Lamar Jackson will have gone 20 days without a snap. With Mark Ingram questionable to play and the long layoff for a lot of the Ravens’ starters on offense, I expect them to come out of the gate slow. Normally these lines at +0.5 or +1 but with almost a field goal head start, I will happily take the Titans in the first quarter. Their offense has been rolling since Ryan Tannehill took over as the starter and it might take the Ravens a quarter to get their rhythm back after the long layoff.

Favorite Over/Under Bet

Seahawks at Packers under 47.5 (-110)

Both of these offenses have struggled to put up points at times this season. The Seahawks barely scored 17 points last week against the Eagles despite Carson Wentz missing most of the game with an injury. Meanwhile, the Packers have failed to score over 24 points in seven of their last eight games to close out the season with the exception being against the Giants in early December. Both defenses have played well at times and with the cold weather, I expect this game to be a hard-nosed contest. I can see a final score of 20-17 and on the alternative line, the total under 38 pays out at +275 if you are feeling risky.

Favorite Prop Bet

Lamar Jackson over 77.5 rushing yards (-118)

If Ingram misses this game, the Ravens will have to rely on Jackson’s running ability more than usual. Jackson had rushed for 78 or more yards in five of his last six games to close out the regular season. The Ravens led the league in rushing, averaging 206 yards per game while Jackson’s 80.4 yards per game ranked eighth in the league and easily first among quarterbacks. I like this bet whether Ingram plays or not but if he misses this game, Jackson could hit the over by halftime.

Questions and comments?

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