Kevin Walsh | September 13th, 2019
We are on to week two! This week’s value edition will admittedly contain several Raiders due to the pricing coming out prior to Monday Night Football, so when you see an Oakland player in each section, know that it’s due to a combination of the Monday Night effect, as well as the initial week settling-in process.
Let’s get to the value.
Derek Carr ($5,100 DK, $6,600 FD)
Wow, did the Oakland Raiders put on a show or what? What initially looked like the Monday Nightmare actually wasn’t a terrible game to watch. Now the Raiders get to play against Kansas City who is going to put up 40 points on them and will require to get into the passing game quickly.
Andy Dalton ($5,400 DK, $7,100 FD)
Somehow the Red Rifle looked serviceable against a reasonable Seahawks defense in Seattle, which is something good quarterbacks have failed to accomplish. Now they are home against a 49ers defense that Tampa Bay could not take advantage of, but if Dalton can keep the momentum moving forward, he could be in for a big day. If Joe Mixon is out, that just reinforces this play.
Gardner Minshew ($4,800 DK, $6,400 FD)
The extreme value for the week, Minshew comes in after the Foles injury. This game script ought to be similar, as they are playing against Deshaun Watson and the high-powered Texans offense. Minshew actually completed ten of his first eleven passes and didn’t look bad in relief. If you need a deep dive, Minshew is your man.
Austin Ekeler ($6,100 DK, $7,500 FD)
Another instance of value not directly meaning cheap, Ekeler is still priced way too low on DraftKings for his involvement in the offense. Ekeler played 75% of snaps and will be leaned on with Hunter Henry out and Mike Williams banged up.
Giovani Bernard ($5,300 DK, $5,700 FD)
This is reliant on Mixon being ruled out, but Bernard showed last year that he is still good as a bell-cow and puts up the numbers we are looking for at his price.
Josh Jacobs ($4,700 DK, $5,900 FD)
The single biggest misprice of the week, Jacobs will be the highest-owned player on DraftKings this week. While he is a value, and he did flash some talent on Monday, I will be personally underexposed this week. The price is tough to ignore, though.
Tyrell Williams ($4,400 DK, $5,900 FD)
As the Raiders theme continues here, Tyrell the Gazelle showed that he can be the threat he always showed flashed of as a Charger. This is another tough price to ignore, but Jacobs’ ownership should keep Tyrell from being over 20% owned. I have no issue going here, especially since he can pay off his price on one big play.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling ($4,600 DK, $6,100 FD)
After putting up a dud in the season opener, MVS is being a bit overlooked this week. With Xavier Rhodes likely following Davante Adams around, they will need to try and get open underneath to relieve Aaron Rodgers of that nasty Vikings pass rush. He is projected to be basically unowned, so this is a solid pivot off of the Tyrell chalk.
Will Fuller ($5,300 DK, $6,100 FD)
Another big-play receiver, Fuller somewhat disappointed in their week one shootout. With everyone flocking to all the young guys that caught bombs last week, Fuller may fall a bit under the radar here at a reasonable price.
I will just note that tight ends on FanDuel do not get priced down very far, so the value aspect is diminished over there.
Darren Waller ($3,300 DK, $5,400 FD)
Who knew more Oakland chalk was coming for tight ends? Waller was the Hard Knocks and preseason darling, and Carr looked to him early in week one. Chiefs are pretty bad over the middle, so the Waller ownership is plenty warranted.
Delanie Walker ($3,500 DK, $5,900 FD)
Though his stat line is inflated by two late touchdowns, it really appeared to be vintage Walker out there. Marcus Mariota looks for this guy (while ignoring Corey Davis for some reason) as his safety valve, and he can’t throw much further than the routes Walker runs. He could be used as a pivot off of Waller.
T.J. Hockenson ($3,000 DK, $6,000 FD)
A rookie tight end has never posted the kind of stat line that Hockenson put up against the Cardinals. We all thought that offensive coordinator Jim Bob Cooter was going to be more committed to the run, so I don’t know how much we can look into his usage from his first NFL game. If you need the savings, he is certainly playable, but I think I’d rather eat the Waller chalk than go down to Hockenson.
Houston Texans ($2,800 DK, $4,800 FD)
The Texans come home to play against Minshew and the Jaguars. On FanDuel, they are the fourth-highest priced defense, and on DraftKings, they are $2,800. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out how big of a discrepancy is. This is basically a lock on DraftKings.
Cincinnati Bengals ($2,600 DK, $3,900 FD)
Though a value on DraftKings, the Bengals are at least cheap on FanDuel also. They gave Seattle a reasonable fight and now come home to play against the 49ers who really struggled on offense against a poor Tampa Bay defense. I am rarely against playing any defense any given week, so this is certainly viable. Look at how many points the cheapest defense scored last week.
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